Alianza vs El Vencedor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 1
MET
78%
16%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 0
IND
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
16%
24%
60%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 0
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 1
SFC
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
El Vencedor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 1
CEV
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 3
CEV
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CEV
1 - 2
JOC
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 0
CEV
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CEV
0 - 1
ONC
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |