Alianza vs CD Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
7º
5º
30
2º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 0
ALI
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
ALI
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 2
FUE
74%
17%
8%
|
70 | 16 | 54 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JOC
3 - 2
ALI
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 0
MET
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 1
JOC
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
CDD
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 2
AGU
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 2
CDD
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ONC
2 - 3
CDD
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |