Alianza vs CD Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
2º
2º
27
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
PHU
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 2
ALI
29%
27%
45%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FIR
1 - 1
ALI
17%
24%
59%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
ONC
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FIR
0 - 0
CDD
40%
30%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
CDD
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 2
CDP
37%
29%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 1
CDD
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |