Alianza vs CD Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 2
ALI
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
UES
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
FIR
1 - 0
ALI
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
FIR
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
UES
2 - 1
CDD
28%
26%
47%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CDD
1 - 1
ATL
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
MUN
8 - 3
CDD
69%
20%
12%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +10 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CDD
0 - 7
AGU
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
CDD
3 - 3
FIR
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |