Alianza vs Independiente FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
16%
24%
60%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 0
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 1
SFC
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
4 - 1
MUN
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
MOT
3 - 0
ALI
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
IND
2 - 2
MUN
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
IND
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
JOC
49%
25%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 1
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
IND
3 - 0
ONC
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |