Alianza vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
CDD
1 - 1
ALI
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 4
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
FAS
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MET
1 - 0
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 3
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
UES
2 - 0
ATL
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
MET
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 0
ATL
49%
27%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
FAS
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |