Alianza vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ONC
0 - 0
ALI
19%
26%
56%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
ALI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 1
FIR
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
3 - 2
FAS
47%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 3
FAS
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
UES
1 - 0
ATL
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 0
AGU
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FIR
1 - 0
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |