Alianza vs CD Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FAS
1 - 1
ALI
25%
26%
48%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 1
ALI
30%
27%
44%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
5 - 2
PAS
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
IND
2 - 3
ALI
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
IND
2 - 2
AGU
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 3
MET
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
AGU
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
CDD
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |