Alianza vs CD Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 2
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
UES
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
FIR
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 4
SAN
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MET
3 - 2
AGU
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
AGU
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 0
AGU
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |