Alianza vs UES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
MET
30%
23%
47%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
FAS
44%
24%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FAS
1 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
UES
1 - 2
FAS
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FIR
1 - 0
UES
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
UES
2 - 1
ONC
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FIR
3 - 2
UES
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UES
3 - 3
ALI
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |