Alianza Universidad vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MUN
2 - 0
AUN
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
AUN
1 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
AUN
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LOS
3 - 2
AUN
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AUN
3 - 0
WAL
72%
17%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 2
LOS
56%
24%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 1
WIL
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 0
DEF
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SBO
2 - 2
WIL
37%
27%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 1
PAC
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |