Alianza Universidad vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
HUA
0 - 1
AUN
64%
21%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
AUN
0 - 0
UTC
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 0
AUN
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
AUN
1 - 0
GAR
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SPC
2 - 1
AUN
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 0
CIE
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 1
VAL
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAN
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 1
VAL
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 0
SBO
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |