Alianza Universidad vs Union Huaral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
AUN
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LOS
3 - 2
AUN
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AUN
3 - 0
WAL
72%
17%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 2
AUN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AUN
1 - 2
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Union Huaral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
LOS
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 0
UNI
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
DEF
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 2
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
SBO
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |