Alianza Universidad vs Unicachi Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
LOS
1 - 0
AUN
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
AUN
3 - 1
ACO
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
GAR
2 - 0
AUN
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AUN
3 - 2
GAR
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AUN
1 - 0
ADT
86%
10%
3%
|
67 | 29 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Unicachi Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
PAC
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 0
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
ATL
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
UNI
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
LOS
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |