Alianza Universidad vs Sportivo Huracán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
5 - 1
AUN
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
AUN
3 - 0
ACR
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SBO
2 - 3
AUN
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AUN
1 - 1
LOS
51%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LOS
1 - 1
AUN
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Huracán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 0
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 1
DEF
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ACR
0 - 3
SPO
28%
26%
47%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
SBO
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LOS
1 - 1
SPO
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |