Alianza Universidad vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
63.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 1
AUN
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
AUN
1 - 0
GAR
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
AGP
1 - 1
AUN
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
CIE
2 - 0
AUN
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
AUN
1 - 1
CAN
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 0
SBO
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BIN
0 - 4
SPC
18%
21%
61%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPC
30%
23%
46%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AYA
1 - 4
SPC
29%
23%
48%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |