Alianza Universidad vs Sport Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
AUN
4 - 1
LOS
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 3
AUN
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
AUN
5 - 1
DEF
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
AUN
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
AUN
3 - 2
SBO
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
DEF
25%
28%
47%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
SPO
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
SBO
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
PAC
3 - 1
SPO
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 2
LOS
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |