Alianza Universidad vs Sport Boys Association analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
LOS
3 - 0
AUN
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
AUN
1 - 0
LOS
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 1
AUN
27%
28%
46%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AUN
3 - 3
WAL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LOS
2 - 2
AUN
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Boys Association
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
SBO
0 - 0
SPO
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 5
SBO
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SBO
2 - 1
ACR
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SBO
0 - 1
ATL
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LOS
1 - 1
SBO
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |