Alianza Universidad vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 2
AUN
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AUN
3 - 2
AYA
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
AUN
18%
23%
60%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 2
SAM
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 2
AUN
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
SRP
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
SFC
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
LOS
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 1
SFC
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
AUR
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |