Alianza Universidad vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SRP
3 - 2
AUN
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
AUN
1 - 1
LLA
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PIR
0 - 1
AUN
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
AUN
1 - 2
AYA
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
3 - 1
AUN
64%
23%
14%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SFC
4 - 0
AUR
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 0
SFC
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 2
LOS
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
3 - 0
SFC
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SFC
0 - 1
SRP
38%
26%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |