Alianza Universidad vs Pirata FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
AUN
3 - 0
JPC
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 22 | 44 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 0
AUN
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
AUN
3 - 0
AUR
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
AUN
2 - 0
DAG
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 13 | 52 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 5
AUN
13%
21%
65%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Pirata FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DAG
1 - 1
PIR
9%
13%
78%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PIR
3 - 2
FCS
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
FSM
2 - 1
PIR
20%
21%
59%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 3
PIR
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 2
JPC
85%
10%
5%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |