Alianza Universidad vs Pirata FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
SCJ
0 - 1
AUN
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 1
AUN
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
AUN
0 - 2
GAR
22%
26%
52%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
COM
3 - 1
AUN
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
AUN
1 - 1
SCJ
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pirata FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
PIR
1 - 0
AUR
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
PIR
1 - 1
UNI
22%
22%
56%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
LOS
1 - 1
PIR
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
PIR
0 - 1
SFC
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SRP
0 - 0
PIR
57%
22%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |