Alianza Universidad vs Juan Pablo II College analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+369%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AUN
3 - 0
SFC
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
AUN
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DAG
3 - 4
AUN
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 33 | 38 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AUN
2 - 0
LLA
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 2
AUN
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Pablo II College
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
JPC
2 - 1
COM
24%
26%
50%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
JPC
66%
21%
14%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
AYA
1 - 2
JPC
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
JPC
1 - 1
FSM
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 2
JPC
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +1 |