Alianza Universidad vs Juan Pablo II College analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+854%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 0
AUN
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
AUN
3 - 0
AUR
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
AUN
2 - 0
DAG
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 12 | 53 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 5
AUN
13%
21%
65%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AUN
3 - 1
FSM
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 24 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Pablo II College
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
JPC
3 - 0
AUR
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DAG
3 - 1
JPC
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
JPC
3 - 1
FCS
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | +4 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
JPC
3 - 2
FSM
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 2
JPC
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | +1 |