Alianza Universidad vs FC San Marcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2350%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 2
AUN
12%
22%
66%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
JPC
1 - 1
AUN
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 14 | 50 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AUN
2 - 0
LLA
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SRP
3 - 1
AUN
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
AUN
3 - 1
SRP
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
DAG
0 - 2
FSM
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 0
AUR
14%
19%
67%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 1
FCS
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +5 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
PIR
0 - 2
FSM
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 0
UNI
12%
19%
70%
|
13 | 50 | 37 | +2 |