Alianza Universidad vs Deportivo Llacuabamba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 2
AUN
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
AUN
0 - 2
LOS
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 3
AUN
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AUN
1 - 0
DAG
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 30 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
AUN
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Llacuabamba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 0
DAG
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
LLA
5 - 1
SFC
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOS
2 - 2
LLA
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 3
LLA
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
AUN
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |