Alianza Universidad vs Deportiva Agropecuaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+527%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
AUN
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
AUN
2 - 2
SFC
64%
21%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LOS
2 - 3
AUN
16%
24%
61%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 3
AUN
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DAG
2 - 1
AUN
17%
22%
61%
|
67 | 23 | 44 | +1 |
Matches
Deportiva Agropecuaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DAG
1 - 1
LOS
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
DAG
1 - 0
LLA
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 3
DAG
69%
19%
12%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | +3 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DAG
2 - 4
SFC
21%
25%
54%
|
24 | 59 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DAG
2 - 1
AUN
17%
22%
61%
|
23 | 67 | 44 | +1 |