Alianza Universidad vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
AUR
3 - 3
AUN
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
AUN
1 - 3
UNI
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LOS
1 - 1
AUN
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
AUN
4 - 1
SFC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SRP
3 - 2
AUN
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
COM
4 - 3
AUR
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
COM
4 - 1
LOS
33%
24%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 0
COM
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
COM
1 - 0
SRP
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |