Alianza Universidad vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 0
AUN
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AUN
0 - 2
ATL
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
AUN
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AUN
7 - 1
LOS
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
AUN
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
COM
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
COM
3 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 2
COM
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |