Alianza Universidad vs Atlético Minero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 3
AUN
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
AUN
5 - 1
DEF
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
AUN
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
AUN
3 - 2
SBO
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 1
AUN
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Minero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 1
MUN
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 0
WAL
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
LOS
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 0
MAN
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
SBO
1 - 2
LOS
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |