Alianza Universidad vs Atlético Minero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 1
AUN
27%
28%
46%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AUN
3 - 3
WAL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LOS
2 - 2
AUN
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AUN
5 - 0
ATL
70%
19%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LOS
2 - 0
AUN
47%
28%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Minero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
LOS
0 - 0
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
LOS
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LOS
2 - 1
ACR
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LOS
2 - 2
LOS
40%
28%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
LOS
3 - 1
SPO
26%
26%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |