Alianza Universidad vs CA Manucci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
AYA
1 - 1
AUN
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AUN
3 - 0
LLA
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
AUN
1 - 0
CIE
29%
25%
47%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 2
AUN
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AUN
1 - 0
FCS
46%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CA Manucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 2
CIE
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 2
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 1
CAN
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SBO
3 - 3
MAN
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
ALI
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |