Alianza Universidad vs CA Manucci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
AUN
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AUN
0 - 0
PIR
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
AUN
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
GAR
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
UTC
2 - 1
AUN
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CA Manucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 1
MEL
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
COM
0 - 2
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 0
MAN
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 2
PIR
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |