Alianza Universidad vs Los Caimanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
AUN
1 - 0
MUN
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
AUN
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
AUN
6 - 1
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 0
AUN
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
AUN
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Los Caimanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
LOS
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
LOS
2 - 1
DEF
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
ACR
0 - 3
LOS
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
LOS
2 - 1
SBO
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
LOS
3 - 3
LOS
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |