Alianza Universidad vs Alfredo Salinas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
AUN
33%
28%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
AUN
4 - 1
SBO
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SRP
0 - 2
AUN
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AUN
1 - 0
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
AUN
1 - 1
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alfredo Salinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
CAN
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LOS
3 - 0
ALF
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
WIL
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 0
ALF
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
ALF
6 - 0
BOC
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |