Alianza Universidad vs Alfonso Ugarte de Puno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
GAL
0 - 0
AUN
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AUN
1 - 0
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 2
AUN
29%
28%
44%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AUN
3 - 0
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 3
AUN
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
LOS
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 1
ALF
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 0
ACR
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SBO
1 - 0
ALF
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 1
LOS
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |