Alianza FC vs Universitario Popayán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 2
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 1
TFC
71%
19%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 2
ALI
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
TFC
63%
24%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
REA
2 - 0
UNI
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
BUC
50%
26%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SFC
3 - 1
UNI
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |