Alianza FC vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
37.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 0
ALI
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 1
ALI
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 1
UNI
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
SAB
2 - 2
ALI
59%
24%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 2
REA
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
RSC
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 1
UNI
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
REA
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
AGU
3 - 0
UNI
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
RIO
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |