Alianza FC vs Uniautónoma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PER
4 - 0
ALI
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
ACA
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
RIO
22%
23%
55%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 0
ALI
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RIO
4 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Uniautónoma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
RSC
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PAS
4 - 0
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAS
35%
24%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
UNI
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |