Alianza FC vs Sucre FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
43.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
PAT
2 - 0
ALI
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
BUC
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNI
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PER
4 - 0
ALI
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sucre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 0
AGU
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 1
RSC
42%
28%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
SFC
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
SFC
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 0
RIO
25%
26%
50%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |