Alianza FC vs Sucre FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
AME
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 3
ALI
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 2
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
PER
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sucre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
SFC
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 1
TFC
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 2
SFC
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 2
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
RSC
0 - 0
SFC
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |