Alianza FC vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
IND
3 - 1
ALI
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
JUN
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 0
ALI
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 2
EQU
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
ALI
45%
27%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
SFE
3 - 2
MIL
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
SFE
1 - 0
ENV
60%
25%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SFE
1 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
SFE
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 1
SFE
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |