Alianza FC vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 3
ALI
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
RIO
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BOG
2 - 5
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 0
SFC
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
AME
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
RSC
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
RSC
4 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
RSC
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
RSC
1 - 0
UNI
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
RSC
0 - 1
BOG
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |