Copa Colombia 1/64
Global 4-2
Alianza FC vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
HUI
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 0
ALI
49%
28%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 4
MIL
18%
24%
59%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 2
AME
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
REA
2 - 0
FOR
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
REA
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
TFC
1 - 0
REA
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
REA
3 - 2
QUI
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
HUI
39%
26%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |