Alianza FC vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ONC
0 - 2
ALI
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 1
HUI
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
REA
1 - 2
ALI
26%
26%
49%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ENV
0 - 0
ALI
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
MIL
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
QUI
1 - 0
REA
55%
24%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
REA
2 - 1
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
REA
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
REA
1 - 2
ALI
26%
26%
49%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
REA
0 - 2
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |