Alianza FC vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EQU
3 - 1
ALI
44%
29%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
ALI
32%
26%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 1
COR
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
BUC
0 - 0
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 1
ALI
49%
28%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TFC
2 - 0
REA
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
ALI
32%
26%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
LLA
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 1
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
REA
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |