Alianza FC vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 2
ENV
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
MIL
3 - 1
ALI
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 2
EQU
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
JUN
30%
28%
43%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
ONC
2 - 2
ALI
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
REA
3 - 0
TFC
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
REA
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
BUC
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
REA
2 - 0
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
REA
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |