Alianza FC vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2012 |
CUC
0 - 0
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 4
ALI
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
ALI
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 2
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TFC
2 - 1
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
REA
1 - 0
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
REA
2 - 2
RIO
23%
23%
54%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
RIO
5 - 2
REA
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
REA
0 - 1
CHI
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 0
REA
48%
22%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |