Alianza FC vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
32.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
BUC
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
IND
4 - 2
ALI
65%
21%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 0
HUI
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 6
BUC
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 1
REA
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
3 - 3
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
PAS
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 0
PAT
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAT
26%
31%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
PAT
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |