Alianza FC vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 3
CUC
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
BUC
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
JUN
2 - 1
ALI
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
PAS
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
REA
2 - 1
ALI
16%
22%
62%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 1
EQU
34%
30%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
PAT
2 - 1
CHI
28%
25%
46%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MIL
4 - 1
PAT
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 1
TOL
19%
25%
55%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 1
BUC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |